pronto.stream · fusion product

US Recession Onset (Sahm rule)

Name: US Recession Onset (Sahm rule) — Pronto Fusion Product
Creator: Pronto Signal Engine Inc.
License: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/

PUBLISHED · id sahm_recession_indicator

Model

Sahm (2019), Brookings/Hamilton Project; published by FRED as SAHMREALTIME. 3-month MA of U-3 unemployment minus its trailing 12-month minimum; triggers at >= 0.50 pp

Inputs

macro

Access

Computed in real time and available over the MCP tool get_fused_signal at /mcp, and enumerated in the fusion products guide. Live metrics: stats.json. Free to cite with attribution.