Pronto the wire

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US Recession Onset (Sahm rule)

PUBLISHED · ID sahm_recession_indicator

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The live view recomputes US Recession Onset (Sahm rule) on the wire and shows the method it used and every signal it read, so the number can be checked rather than trusted.

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01

Модели математикӣ ва методология

Sahm (2019), Brookings/Hamilton Project; published by FRED as SAHMREALTIME. 3-month MA of U-3 unemployment minus its trailing 12-month minimum; triggers at >= 0.50 pp

02

Ворودی сигналҳои манбаъ

  • macro
03

Дастрасӣ ва ҳамгироӣ

Computed in real time and available over the MCP tool get_fused_signal at /mcp, and enumerated in the fusion products guide. Included from the Team plan. Compare access at /pricing or call get_plans over MCP. Readings depend on current source availability; source licences still apply.